Comments:

warcrygirl - 2004-11-05 16:33:55
Another thing you'll notice: the majority of people who voted for Kerry are younger while the majority of people who voted for Bush are older. Most Americans will follow that pattern, younger for Dems and older for Reps. Kinda tells you something right there, doesn't it?
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jes - 2004-11-05 16:49:07
A candidate already in office is more likely to win. So I don't know how right you are about your assessment about the democratic party's support slipping. And to be honest, I usually hear about Republicans talking about how stupid the Democrats are. I suppose both parties are even steven with that insult. Interestingly, all my educated professors with those useless PhD's voted for Kerry. And i don't know about the accuracy of your statement about the black vote. Perhaps the black vote is vastly more catered to by the Democratic party? So they could all indipendently have mad an assessment that kerry would have been better for them. Also, you might get a lot of religious votes, that have nothing to do with having or not having an education, blindly voting for bush. While I will trust your numbers may be correct, I don't think your analysis of why is 100% on.
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hotcarl - 2004-11-05 17:28:57
Here is the source for exit polling data. here

As you noted about the "useless" phd's, I think you will find those with the analytical/educational graduate degrees like physics, social science, sociology and crap like that will lean democrat, where as graduate degrees in genetics, business, engineering, the "hard" sciences lean republican.
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jes - 2004-11-05 17:41:21
I am sure you are right. However, they are STILL educated. Most of the differences you site seem to be economic considerations, (poor teachers, poor students) not so educational as you seem to suggest.
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jes - 2004-11-05 17:50:40
Interestign link. Thanks. it seems more than economic, is religous consideration. You can do with that information what you will.
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hotcarl - 2004-11-05 18:15:37
The problem with the argument of poor teachers is that most teachers only hold a bachelors degree while most professors with their graduate degrees are most definately not poor. Have a few professors in my family I can attest to that.

As for religion, that really was not much of a factor, you are talking about support of 60-40 religious support for republicans versus 90-10 black for democrats.

No doubt economics is a huge division, the uneducated and thereby likelly extremely poor break decisively for democrats, but in the same respect the uber rich, the ones that pass down fortunes generation after generation actually tend to also vote democrat. Republican support comes primarily from the middle-class and upper-middle class, no doubt they too have their shar of rich, but I think its more people that earned they wealth through hard work as opposed to those he were given it through celebrity or inheritance.
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jes - 2004-11-05 18:56:50
ask a philosopher professor (some of the most educated, in my oponion) what he makes in a year. It's not poverty, but it's not a whole bunch either. And the black statistic is far out, no question (why, now THATs the question)... but the rest of the votes were more evenly split. Given a 3% error margin, a lot were 50/50. No so much with the religious votes. and while the Extreemly wealthy vote left, the people who are rich, but not rolling are Right, right?
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jes - 2004-11-05 19:00:41
ahh, sorry, missed that last part. anyway, if work is what you think the division is, i agree. People who work for their money don't want to see it go away... fine. But I didn't get the impression that that is what your article was implying.
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